- Most Americans Put Blame On Republicans And Trump If Government Shuts Down
- Trump Lawyer Used Fake Company, Names to Pay Stormy Daniels
- Graham: ‘I Know What Was Said’
- Celebrities Blame Trump For Hawaii Missile Scare
- Trump’s First Year As President Resulted In Less Jobs Created Than Obama’s Last Year
- Trump Campaign Aide Spoke Of Possible Russia Collusion During Drunken Conversation
- Trump Lawyers Will Cast Flynn as a Liar
- Sanders: Republicans Should Be Worried About 2018
- Mueller Expanding Probe to RNC
- Obama, Clinton Top List As Most Admired Man, Woman
Trump Touts Data From The ‘Worst Pollster In The World’ In A Pathetic Attempt To Look Better
Donald Trump logged into his Twitter account early on Friday morning to tout a poll from Zogby Analytics, once called the “worst pollster in the world” by FiveThirtyEight.com. What’s more, the numbers Trump is touting don’t reflect a positive outcome: Zogby still finds, despite it’s flagrantly terrible polling method, that a majority of Americans still disapprove of Trump.
Trump sent out his tweet, quoting an article from the conservative-leaning Washington Times, detailing how his numbers were rebounding in recent days.
"Trump approval rebounds to 45%, surges among Hispanics, union homes, men" https://t.co/vvJMDv9Gjl
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 10, 2017
The Times article calls Trump the “comeback kid,” a weird moniker to give the president given that his approval numbers are still below his disapproval rating of 51 percent in the very same Zogby poll.
Still, this is a bit of a rebound if you look at just the raw numbers. Other polls, such as the Reuters/Ipsos poll released earlier this month, show that the president’s disapproval number of 59 percent, with a dismal approval rate of 37 percent. A jump up from 37 percent to 45 percent would be quite the rebound.
But there’s significant problems with Zogby’s polling methodology. For starters, some of their polls use data obtained from phone lines while others rely on voluntary responses from online subscribers — an unscientific method that led polling analyst Nate Silver to call Zogby the “worst pollster in the world” back in 2009.
“Zogby’s telephone polls…are actually not terrible,” Silver wrote back then. “Zogby, however, also conducts Internet-based polls. These polls are conducted among users who volunteer to participate in them, first by signing up at the Zogby website and then by responding to an e-mail solicitation.”
Silver goes on to say, “These Internet polls, to the extent they rely on voluntary participation, violate the most basic precept of survey research, which is that of the random sample. And as you might infer, they obtain absolutely terrible results.”
So we have to ask: which type of poll is the most recently released Zogby poll? An internet- or phone-based one? The poll that Trump and conservative media are trying to brag about, are attempting to use to demonstrate he’s on a comeback, is the phony, internet-based poll that Zogby puts out.
Of course, Trump is accustomed to putting out “fake” polls like this to bolster up his credentials. Earlier in the week, he shared a tweet from another dubious poll, this time from a Twitter user, which again was unscientific (read about that here). No matter how much he tries to hide it, however, his presidency is an unpopular one, for myriad reasons too numerous to mention here.